Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 10.562308 11.685043 12.889948 14.281382 15.846626 17.556020 19.568293
2025-10-12 9.089828 10.684171 12.517096 14.789615 17.544499 20.792254 24.934854
2025-10-19 7.834274 9.687876 11.946367 14.922665 18.774102 23.633716 30.299273
2025-10-26 6.790679 8.767698 11.299449 14.817419 19.639314 26.104541 35.578482
2025-11-02 5.953533 7.978588 10.686378 14.628460 20.315661 28.371041 40.913021
2025-11-09 5.272513 7.299799 10.115513 14.388037 20.842361 30.452036 46.275206
2025-11-16 4.737209 6.752351 9.648323 14.210837 21.400209 32.610810 52.066149
2025-11-23 4.317378 6.319115 9.286962 14.127591 22.060810 34.981392 58.555910
2025-11-30 4.058891 6.094431 9.204923 14.452817 23.392897 38.597569 67.775328
2025-12-07 3.740764 5.742555 8.882990 14.341135 23.963454 40.973942 75.140765
2025-12-14 3.418946 5.352530 8.457728 14.000078 24.077497 42.530674 81.183154
2025-12-21 3.187795 5.087238 8.208328 13.927129 24.649585 44.988392 89.438002
2025-12-28 3.069794 5.003799 8.263487 14.413790 26.350518 49.916593 103.989728
2026-01-04 2.948958 4.904427 8.281047 14.833509 27.982486 54.974624 119.958644
2026-01-11 2.787383 4.719446 8.128610 14.913569 28.947282 58.801306 133.940279
2026-01-18 2.611397 4.493591 7.880540 14.778460 29.447579 61.699925 146.317475
2026-01-25 2.443373 4.268273 7.612818 14.573383 29.769179 64.245009 158.379256
2026-02-01 2.285853 4.049815 7.338733 14.324725 29.960515 66.515081 170.243650
2026-02-08 2.150581 3.862707 7.108874 14.143240 30.277880 69.137101 183.735402
2026-02-15 2.037697 3.709759 6.932909 14.057536 30.804457 72.363543 199.814448
2026-02-22 1.976709 3.652757 6.943295 14.379229 32.343103 78.449757 226.280897
2026-03-01 1.876641 3.510918 6.768619 14.267246 32.803796 81.755009 244.784598
2026-03-08 1.762807 3.333501 6.506179 13.927664 32.647692 83.343711 258.000405